Forecast: Total Number of Scientific Publications in Immunology and Allergy in Indonesia

The number of scientific publications in Immunology and Allergy in Indonesia has shown significant growth from 2013 to 2023, reaching 18.65 publications in 2023. Fluctuations were significant particularly in the years 2014 with a drop of 33.41% and rapid rises like in 2017 with a 286.44% increase. Notable growth was also observed in 2020 and 2021 with increments of 85.58% and 51.65% respectively. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years stood at 17.18%, demonstrating a robust increment annually.

Looking ahead from 2024 to 2028, publications are projected to continue their upward trajectory, reaching an estimated 30.78 publications by 2028. This forecast period reflects a more moderate CAGR of 7.84%, indicating steady, sustained growth. The accumulated growth rate over these five years is projected to be 45.86%.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Advancements in immunology and allergy research technology potentially accelerating publication rates.
  • Increased funding and collaboration opportunities to drive research outputs further.
  • Policy changes and educational reforms in Indonesia that may impact research capacity and dissemination.

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