Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment in Japan

In 2023, the share of Japanese scientific publications in the world's top 10% cited within renewable energy, sustainability, and the environment stood notably high. From 2024, however, a downward trend is forecasted, starting at 5.12% and declining gradually to 4.48% by 2028. Each year witnesses a slight decline of approximately 3-4% in value, reflecting a modest yet persistent drop in global citation impact.

Future trends to watch for:

  • A shift in research focus towards rising topics in renewable energy and sustainability that could boost citation impact.
  • Increasing international collaborations that may help stabilize or reverse this declining trend.
  • The influence of governmental and institutional policies on research funding and citation performance.

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