Forecast: Passenger Air Transport in France

The passenger air transport sector in France demonstrated steady growth from 2013 to 2019, with values increasing from 151.64 to 203.55 billion passenger kilometers. This period saw consistent year-on-year growth, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) peaking at 5.58% in 2018. However, the COVID-19 pandemic significantly disrupted this trend, causing a dramatic 73.44% decline in 2020 to 54.06 billion passenger kilometers. Recovery began in 2021 with a 38.69% increase and accelerated in 2022, evidenced by a substantial 137.76% year-on-year boost, bringing the 2022 value to 178.27 billion passenger kilometers. The sector showed resilience in 2023, reaching 214.27 billion passenger kilometers, a 20.19% year-on-year increase.

The future forecast from 2024 to 2028 indicates continued moderate growth. The anticipated CAGR over these five years is 1.8%, with a total growth rate of 9.34%. Predicted values suggest the sector will advance from 219.52 billion passenger kilometers in 2024 to 240.02 billion passenger kilometers in 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential impacts of ongoing global economic recovery post-pandemic.
  • Technological advancements and increased focus on sustainable aviation.
  • Shifts in consumer behavior and preferences towards air travel.
  • Regulatory changes and their effects on the aviation industry.

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