Forecast: Gross Direct Premium of Compulsory Automobile Liability Insurance in Japan

The gross direct premium of Compulsory Automobile Liability Insurance (CALI) in Japan is projected to exhibit a slight decline from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the actual value stood at 979.48 billion Japanese Yen.

Year-on-year percentage variations indicate a consistent, albeit minor, decrease each year:

  • 2025: -0.15% from 2024
  • 2026: -0.15% from 2025
  • 2027: -0.14% from 2026
  • 2028: -0.14% from 2027

Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is -0.15%, highlighting a stable yet negative trend.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Impact of technological advancements in the automobile industry, including autonomous driving and electric vehicles, which may influence insurance requirements.
  • Regulatory changes in compulsory automobile liability insurance that could alter premium structures.
  • Shifts in Japan's demographic profile and their potential impact on vehicle ownership and insurance demand.

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