In 2023, the import of fresh or chilled lamb carcasses and half carcasses to Japan stood at approximately 3.64 thousand kilograms. Projections indicate a declining trend over the next five years, starting with 3.41 thousand kilograms in 2024 and reaching 2.57 thousand kilograms by 2028. Year-on-year variations reveal a continuous decrease: 6.14% in 2025, 6.88% in 2026, 6.71% in 2027, and 7.55% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 reflects an average yearly decline of approximately 6.75%.
Future trends to monitor include possible shifts in consumer preferences towards other meats and changes in domestic lamb production, which could impact import volumes. Additionally, trade policies and currency fluctuations might also play a role in influencing import dynamics.
