Based on the forecasted data, the number of road casualties on motorways in France from 2024 to 2028 shows a steady increase year-on-year. The values are projected to rise incrementally from 8.86 thousand persons in 2024 to 9.26 thousand persons in 2028. In comparison, the data from 2023 showed actual casualties standing at 8.76 thousand persons. The year-on-year variation between 2023 and 2024 is observed to be approximately 1.14%. Over the last two years, this variation continues, maintaining consistency in the upward trend.
Looking further, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 is calculated to be approximately 1.1%, indicating a modest yet persistent increase in road casualties on motorways in France.
Future trends to keep an eye on include the potential impacts of advancements in vehicular safety technology, changes in traffic laws, and road infrastructure improvements, which could influence the number of casualties on motorways. Additionally, shifts in driving behavior and patterns due to factors like telecommuting and electric vehicle adoption may also play significant roles in shaping these trends.
