The number of new extrapulmonary tuberculosis cases in the UK is forecasted to decline over the next five years. Starting at 1,630 cases in 2024, it is expected to decrease to 1,280 cases by 2028. The year-on-year variations show a steady reduction with approximately a 5.52% annual decrease between 2024 and 2025, 5.84% between 2025 and 2026, 6.21% between 2026 and 2027, and 5.88% between 2027 and 2028. Compared to the situation in 2023, when actual cases stood at this level, the forecast indicates sustained improvement in controlling extrapulmonary tuberculosis.
Future trends to watch for include public health policies targeting disease prevention, advances in medical treatments, and socioeconomic factors influencing healthcare access. Monitoring changes in the migrant population, healthcare funding, and vaccination campaigns may provide insights into ongoing control of the disease.
