In 2023, the number of new bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis cases in Japan stood at approximately 7.85 thousand. From 2024 to 2028, forecasts suggest a declining trend, decreasing from 7.4 thousand to 5.93 thousand cases. This represents a year-on-year average decline of about 6.9%. Considering the entire period from 2024 to 2028, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicates a contraction of around 5.0% annually.

Key future trends to watch for include:

Implementation and impact of public health initiatives targeting tuberculosis reduction in Japan.
Potential innovations in medical treatments and diagnostic methods for tuberculosis.
Demographic changes and urbanization, which could influence disease transmission dynamics.