As of 2023, the number of new bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis cases in the UK stood at 2.15 thousand cases. Forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 indicates a gradual and slight annual decrease, from 2.12 thousand in 2024 to 2.10 thousand by 2028. This represents a year-on-year decline of approximately 0.47% when considering the period from 2024 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year forecast period suggests a subtle reduction trend in new cases.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential impacts of public health policies and campaigns on tuberculosis awareness and prevention.
Developments in medical technology and diagnostics, which could affect infection rates and reporting accuracy.
Any socio-economic changes, including migration patterns, that might influence tuberculosis incidence rates.
Global climate change repercussions and their effect on disease spread and management.