The suicide mortality rate in Japan is forecasted to decline from 12.8 deaths per 100,000 persons in 2024 to 10.6 in 2028. This reflects a continuous downward trend. The year-on-year percentage decrease is: 3.91% from 2024 to 2025, 4.88% from 2025 to 2026, 4.27% from 2026 to 2027, and 5.36% from 2027 to 2028. Over five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is approximately -4.67%, indicating a significant reduction in suicide rates.
Future trends to watch for in relation to these declines include the implementation of mental health initiatives, societal pressures, economic factors, and how the Japanese government addresses these issues. Monitoring demographic shifts, technological impacts on mental health, and changing societal attitudes will be crucial in sustaining or accelerating this downward trend.