The forecasted export volume of green coffee beans from Kenya shows a slight declining trend over the forecast period. In 2024, exports are expected to be 737.0 thousand units (bags of 60 kg), slightly decreasing each year to reach 732.0 thousand units by 2028. For context, the actual export volume in 2023 was 740.0 thousand units. The year-on-year percentage variation shows a marginal decline with slight annual drops: -0.1% in 2025, -0.2% in 2026, -0.3% in 2027, and -0.1% in 2028. The last five-year CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) indicates a consistent, albeit minimal, average annual decline.
Future trends to monitor will include the impact of climate change on coffee production, shifts in global coffee demand, and local agricultural policy changes in Kenya. Additionally, innovations in coffee farming techniques and the influence of international trade policies could significantly influence the export trends in the coming years.
