Forecast: Mortality Caused by Road Traffic Injury in Austria

The mortality rate due to road traffic injury in Austria has shown a consistent downward trend over the past decade, starting at 5.5 deaths per hundred thousand persons in 2013 and decreasing to 3.9 in 2023. Year-on-year variations reveal alternating periods of significant decreases and minor increases, with an overall CAGR of -4.07% over the last five years (2018-2023). Recent data shows a notable reduction, with values dropping by 4.65% and 4.88% in the last two years, respectively.

Looking forward, the forecast data suggests a continued decline, with a projected CAGR of -5.42% from 2024 to 2028, leading rates to an estimated 2.8 deaths per hundred thousand persons by 2028. This would represent a 24.32% reduction from 2023 levels.

Future trends to watch for include advancements in vehicle safety technology, enhanced traffic regulations, and public safety campaigns. Additionally, the impact of increasing urbanization and potential shifts in transportation patterns, such as the rise of electric scooters and bicycles, could further influence mortality rates.