In 2023, the number of road fatalities in Sweden was recorded at 1.95 units per million persons. Moving forward, the forecasted values for the upcoming years show a consistent decline: 1.8 in 2024, 1.65 in 2025, 1.5 in 2026, 1.35 in 2027, and finally 1.2 in 2028. This year-on-year forecast highlights a notable annual average decrease, with significant improvements expected by the end of the forecast period. Year-on-year variations of -7.7%, -8.3%, -9.1%, and -11.1% respectively for 2024 to 2028 showcase a positive trend in reducing road fatalities significantly. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period stands at approximately -9.3%, reflecting a steady decline in road deaths each year.
For future trends, it's vital to monitor advancements in vehicle safety technologies, effectiveness and adoption of new traffic regulations, and continuous improvements in road infrastructure. Additionally, the increasing adoption of autonomous driving technologies and electric vehicles may further influence these numbers positively by enhancing overall road safety.