In 2023, the consumption of kerosene-type jet fuel in Germany's international aviation stood at a certain level, marking the baseline for future projections. Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 suggest a gradual increase from 10.2 million tonnes in 2024 to 10.78 million tonnes in 2028. Year-on-year growth shows a steady upward trend, implying a recovery in the aviation sector post-pandemic. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period reflects a moderate increase, underpinning expectations of a consistent demand rise due to increased international travel and economic recovery.
Future trends to watch include:
- The impact of regulatory changes and environmental policies on jet fuel demand.
- Technological advancements in aircraft efficiency that may curb fuel consumption.
- The influence of evolving geopolitical factors on international aviation routes and fuel logistics.
- Potential shifts towards sustainable aviation fuels reducing traditional jet fuel consumption.