Forecast: Nitrogen Fertilisers Consumption in the Netherlands

The consumption of nitrogen fertilizers in the Netherlands has demonstrated a declining trend over the past decade. Starting from 220.66 thousand metric tons in 2013, the consumption decreased consistently, reaching 186.74 thousand metric tons in 2023. The year-on-year decline accelerated slightly in the last few years, illustrating a shift from a broader long-term compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -1.58% in 2013 to -2.18% by 2023. During the past two years (2021 to 2023), the year-on-year decline was consistent at 2.05%.

Forecasts for 2024 onwards suggest a continued reduction in nitrogen fertilizer consumption, with a projected 5-year CAGR of -1.83%, leading to an 8.82% reduction by 2028. This decline mirrors broader environmental and regulatory pressures likely aimed at sustainable agricultural practices and reductions in chemical inputs.

Future trends to watch for include:

• Regulatory changes impacting fertilizer usage.
• Technological advancements in precision farming reducing the need for fertilizers.
• Shifts towards organic farming and eco-friendly agricultural practices.
• Economic factors influencing farmers' purchasing power for fertilizers.