Forecast: Pertussis Incidence in Canada

In 2023, the incidence of pertussis in Canada stood at 6.2 cases per hundred thousand persons. Forecast data from 2024 to 2028 shows a stable trend with the incidence consistently recorded at 6.3 cases per hundred thousand persons from 2024 to 2027. A minor uptick to 6.4 is anticipated in 2028.

The year-on-year percentage variation between 2024 and 2027 demonstrates a static trend, with no change expected until the subtle increase in 2028. Over the five-year forecast period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is negligible.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential public health interventions targeted at reducing pertussis incidence.
  • Changes in vaccination policies or coverage that could affect future incidence trends.
  • Possible factors such as changes in population immunity or pathogen evolution that might impact incidence rates.

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