In 2023, the incidence of pertussis in Canada stood at 6.2 cases per hundred thousand persons. Forecast data from 2024 to 2028 shows a stable trend with the incidence consistently recorded at 6.3 cases per hundred thousand persons from 2024 to 2027. A minor uptick to 6.4 is anticipated in 2028.
The year-on-year percentage variation between 2024 and 2027 demonstrates a static trend, with no change expected until the subtle increase in 2028. Over the five-year forecast period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is negligible.
Future trends to watch for:
- Potential public health interventions targeted at reducing pertussis incidence.
- Changes in vaccination policies or coverage that could affect future incidence trends.
- Possible factors such as changes in population immunity or pathogen evolution that might impact incidence rates.