Analyzing the provided data, France's road passenger transport movements by buses and coaches showed steady growth from 2013 to 2019. It witnessed a significant drop in 2020, attributed undoubtedly to the COVID-19 pandemic, followed by a partial recovery from 2021 to 2022. However, in 2023, volumes fell again slightly to 46.91 billion passenger kilometers, which represented a 2.08% year-on-year decrease.
• 2022 saw a notable increase of 14.75% over 2021, reflecting the recovery from pandemic lows.
• The year-on-year change for 2023 was negative (-2.08%) indicating a small decline.
• The average annual growth rate (CAGR) for the past five years (2019 to 2023) was -4.6% due to pandemic-induced disruptions.
Future forecasts suggest stabilizing movements in the mid-47 billion passenger kilometers range, with a modest annual growth rate (CAGR) of 0.5% expected from 2024 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of any new transportation policies, advancements in electric and autonomous bus technology, and potential shifts in passenger behavior post-pandemic. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anticipating future fluctuations in road passenger kilometer volumes.
