Forecast: Internal Tourism Consumption of Passenger Transport Services in Australia

From 2013 to 2018, internal tourism consumption of passenger transport services in Australia experienced substantial growth, peaking at 26.73 billion AUD in 2018. This was largely characterized by a consistent year-on-year increase with growth rates between 4.55% and 9.05%, encapsulating a healthy growth environment for domestic tourism transport services.

However, 2019 marked the beginning of a sharp decline due to various economic and possibly external factors, dropping 26.5% from 2018. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic further exacerbated this decline in 2020, resulting in a 37.6% drop to 12.26 billion AUD.

Recovery began in 2021 with a 61.68% increase, continuing into 2022 with an 11.75% rise. However, the growth pace normalized in 2023 with only a modest 0.56% increase, stabilizing the consumption at 22.27 billion AUD.

From 2024 onwards, forecasted data predicts a stable but slow growth trajectory, with the internal tourism consumption values expected to increment gradually, reaching 22.8 billion AUD by 2028. The forecasted five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) stands at 0.48%, indicating a subdued yet steady recovery.

Future trends to watch for include technological advancements in passenger transport services, shifts in consumer behavior post-pandemic, governmental tourism policies, and economic conditions which could significantly influence the growth trajectory.