In 2023, the mortality rate caused by road traffic injury in Nigeria was at 19.5 deaths per hundred thousand persons. The observed trend from 2013 to 2023 displays a consistent decline, with the mortality rate decreasing from 22.0 to 19.5. The year-on-year variation over the last two years shows a percentage decrease of -1.49% in 2022 and -1.52% in 2023. Additionally, the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at -1.38%.
Key future trends to watch for:
- The mortality rate is forecasted to continue its downward trajectory, projected to reach 18.0 by 2028 — a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -1.28%.
- Government policies and road safety initiatives will be critical in sustaining and possibly accelerating this decline.
- Advancements in vehicle safety technology and improvements in emergency medical response could significantly impact these projections.