The mortality caused by road traffic injuries in Thailand has shown a fluctuating trend from 2013 to 2023. In 2013, the rate was 36.0 deaths per 100,000 persons. Throughout the following years, there have been some minor increases and decreases, but overall, the trend has been downward. By 2023, the rate had decreased to 30.8 deaths per 100,000 persons.
Key year-on-year trends include significant decreases in 2014 and steady declines from 2018 onwards, culminating in a 1.28% reduction in 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years leading to 2023 was -0.95%.
Looking forward, the forecast indicates a continued gradual decline in mortality rates, with a 5-year average decrease rate expected to be -0.94% per year. From 2024 to 2028, the mortality rate is anticipated to decrease by a total of 4.61%, falling to 29.0 deaths per 100,000 persons by 2028.
Future Trends to Watch For:
• Improvements in road safety infrastructure and stringent traffic regulations could further decrease mortality rates.
• Initiatives focusing on better emergency medical responses could also impact these figures positively.
• Monitoring changes in vehicle technology, such as the adoption of autonomous or semi-autonomous vehicles, may offer new insights into future trends.