Forecast: Meat Production in Kenya

Kenya's meat production has shown a steady increase from 2014 to 2023, reaching 925.0 thousand metric tons in 2023. The year-on-year growth rate has fluctuated, with notable increases in 2015 and 2018 of 7.6% and 10.84%, respectively. However, there were also periods of decline, such as in 2019 and 2020, with -1.37% and -3.36%, respectively. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years stood at 1.03%, indicating a moderate growth trajectory.

Forecasts suggest that meat production will continue to rise, reaching 998.1 thousand metric tons by 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR is 1.2%, with an overall growth rate of 6.15% from 2023 to 2028, indicating a continuation of the upward trend at a slightly accelerated pace.

Future trends to watch for include:

-Economic policies and investments in agriculture that could impact meat production scale.

-Global and local consumer demand shifts towards sustainable and alternative protein sources.

-Technological advancements in livestock farming that could boost productivity.

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