Forecast: New Buses and Coaches Registrations in Poland

The registration of new buses and coaches in Poland has demonstrated fluctuating trends over the past decade. The year 2020 marked a significant decline of 31.78% due to the COVID-19 pandemic, but recovery has been observed since then. As of 2023, registrations stood at 5.71 thousand units, showing an 8.33% increase from the previous year. Over the last five years (2018-2023), the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has been relatively stagnant at -0.15%.

Looking ahead, the forecast indicates a modest growth trend with a forecasted CAGR of 1.07% from 2024 to 2028, resulting in registrations reaching approximately 6.11 thousand units by 2028. The expected growth rate over these five years is approximately 5.46%.

Future trends to watch for:

• The adoption of electric and hybrid buses due to environmental regulations
• Government policies and subsidies to support public transportation
• Technological advancements in vehicle safety and automation
• Economic factors influencing public and private sector investment in fleet upgrades