From 2013 to 2023, the arable land area under conversion to organic farming in Denmark has experienced significant growth, particularly from 2016 onwards. In 2023, this area stood at 3.08 units of total utilised agricultural area. The figures showed a substantial spike in 2016 with a 207.32% year-over-year increase, followed by a steady rise, except for a notable drop in 2020. Over the last two years, the year-on-year variations were 15.77% in 2022 and 10.39% in 2023. The 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2018 to 2023 stood at 6.2%.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Continued yet slowing growth in organic farming conversion, with forecasted year-on-year increases from 2024 to 2028.
- The 5-year CAGR from 2024 to 2028 is anticipated to be 1.58%, suggesting a maturation phase in the shift towards organic farming.
- Increased regulatory and consumer shifts towards sustainability may influence the pace of organic farming adoption.