The forecast for nuclear heat production in the UK shows a steady decline from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the nuclear heat production stood at a strong baseline. However, starting from 2024, it is expected to gradually decrease each year: 12.79 Million Tonnes of Oil Equivalent (Mtoe) in 2024, 12.64 Mtoe in 2025, 12.5 Mtoe in 2026, 12.36 Mtoe in 2027, and finally, 12.22 Mtoe by 2028. The year-on-year variations indicate an average decline rate of approximately 1.2% annually. Over the last two years, the decline is similarly gradual.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of new technological advancements in nuclear energy, shifts in governmental policies directed toward carbon neutrality, and the integration of renewable energy sources. These factors could significantly influence nuclear heat production volumes beyond 2028.
