Forecast: Rail Freight Volume in Finland

The rail freight volume in Finland has shown significant fluctuations over the past decade. In 2023, the volume stood at 11.49 Billion Tonne Kilometers. Observing year-on-year variations, the dataset reveals notable dips in 2015 (-11.76%) and 2020 (-16.01%), whereas strong recoveries are seen in 2017 (+9.59%) and 2021 (+15.79%). Over the last two years, there was moderate growth in rail freight volumes with a 6.44% increase in 2022 and a minimal 1.08% rise in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years is modest at 0.55%, indicating steady, albeit slow growth.

For future trends, forecasts suggest a slight improvement with an average annual growth of 0.88% over the next five years. This corresponds to a cumulative 4.45% increase in volume by 2028, reaching up to 12.10 Billion Tonne Kilometers. Future trends to watch include the impact of economic conditions on trade, investments in rail infrastructure, and shifts in commodity transportation methods due to environmental policies.

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