The production of whole fresh Shortbill Spearfish in France is projected to decline sharply from 1.6 metric tons in 2024 to 0.4 metric tons by 2028. This forecasts an annual decrease of approximately 25% over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, indicating a significant downturn in supply. In 2023, production stood at levels reflective of sustainable capture rates, but the following years show a decreasing trend, which is concerning for market stability.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential regulatory changes impacting capture fisheries in France and the broader EU.
Environmental conditions affecting marine biodiversity, particularly impacting the Shortbill Spearfish population.
Developments in aquaculture that may offer alternative solutions to declining capture fisheries.