Forecast: Mutton and Goat Meat Production in Nigeria

The mutton and goat meat production in Nigeria witnessed fluctuations over the past decade. It increased from 384 thousand metric tons in 2014 to 414 thousand metric tons in 2017 but declined to 379.05 thousand metric tons in 2020. Subsequent recovery brought it to 401 thousand metric tons in 2023, with no year-on-year growth noted for that year. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the past five years was 0.51%.

Looking ahead, production is forecasted to grow steadily, reaching 405.04 thousand metric tons by 2028. While the forecasted five-year CAGR is lower at 0.15%, a slight overall growth of 0.75% is anticipated in the period. Key metrics to monitor will be the impact of climate change on livestock, the adoption of modern farming techniques, and governmental policies supporting meat production.

Future trends to watch for include:

- Technological advancements in livestock farming.

- Policy changes in agricultural subsidies.

- Climate resiliency measures for sustainable meat production.

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