The production of organic subtropical and tropical fruits in Turkey has demonstrated substantial fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. The initial years saw rapid growth with a noticeable peak in 2018 at 142.99 thousand metric tons. This was followed by a decline, reaching its lowest point in 2022 at 100.57 thousand metric tons, before regaining momentum in 2023 with a production of 108.32 thousand metric tons.
Year-over-year variations reveal significant volatility: a high growth rate of 63.84% in 2014 plummeted to a 22.66% decrease in 2019. The CAGR tells a similar story, moving from a high of 27.41% in 2018 down to a negative trajectory in subsequent years. Recovery signs are evident from 2023 with a 7.71% increase, suggesting stabilization and modest growth ahead.
The five-year forecast projects steady growth, with the production expected to increase to 137.56 thousand metric tons by 2028. This represents a forecasted CAGR of 3.78%, indicating more consistent and modest growth compared to the previous decade. The overall expected growth rate over the next five years is 20.37%.
Future trends to monitor include technological advancements in organic farming, climate change impacts, and shifts in global demand. These factors will play crucial roles in shaping the direction of Turkey's organic fruit production industry. Additionally, focus on sustainable practices and potential new market openings could further influence production dynamics.
