From 2013 to 2017, goat milk cheese production in China demonstrated a significant fluctuation, peaking in 2014 at 9.0 thousand metric tons before experiencing a notable decline until 2017. The years following showcased a stabilization of production levels, averaging around 6.6 thousand metric tons though with minor fluctuations.
In 2023, the production stood at 6.42 thousand metric tons, reflective of a continued, albeit marginal, decreasing trend observed in recent years. The year-on-year variations in 2022 and 2023 were minimal at -0.86% and -0.85% respectively, indicating stable yet slightly declining production levels.
Looking forward into the forecasted period up to 2028, the average annual decrease (compound annual growth rate) is projected to be around -0.73%, with an overall reduction of 3.59% over the five-year span. This suggests a gradual but clear decline in production volumes.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in dairy farming technologies, shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative dairy products, and potential changes in import-export regulations that could impact domestic production levels. Market players should also monitor environmental impacts and sustainability practices, which could influence production and consumer choices.
