Forecast: Health Expenditure in the US

From 2013 to 2023, the US health expenditure as a unit of GDP has shown an upward trend, with values rising from 16.9 to 18.43. The year-on-year growth rate has slightly declined from 0.7% in 2013 to 0.71% in 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years, from 2018 to 2023, averaged at 0.75% annually.

From 2024 onwards, values are projected to continue increasing, with a forecasted level of 19.04 by 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR is expected to moderate to 0.52%, with an overall forecast growth of 2.62% over this period.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Technological advances in healthcare and their impact on cost efficiency.
  • Policy changes affecting healthcare funding and expenditure.
  • Shifts in population demographics influencing healthcare demand.
  • Impact of economic factors such as inflation on healthcare spending.

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