Forecast: Out-of-Pocket Health Expenditure in United Arab Emirates

The out-of-pocket health expenditure in the United Arab Emirates saw varying trends from 2013 onward. In the early part of the decade, there were some fluctuations with a slight increase peaking in 2014. However, from 2015 onwards, a consistent decline has been observed, notably between 2018 and the forecast for 2028. The out-of-pocket health expenditure stood at 14.43 in 2023.

Year-on-year changes have shown a continuous decrease, particularly noticeable over the past two years, further solidifying the downtrend. The last five years showed an average annual decline (CAGR) of approximately -2.05%. Future forecasts still indicate a downward trajectory, with a forecast 5-year CAGR of -1.83% leading to an overall decline of 8.83% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Continued policy changes aimed at reducing the out-of-pocket expenditure burden on citizens.
  • Increased implementation of national health insurance schemes.
  • Technological and infrastructural advancements in healthcare services that may impact expenditure patterns.

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