Forecast: Goods Transported by Railway in Germany

From 2013 to 2023, the volume of goods transported by railway in Germany displayed fluctuations, peaking in 2016 and dipping significantly in 2020, influenced likely by diverse economic and operational factors. In 2023, transported volume stood at 353.96 million metric tons, a decrease of 4.04% from the previous year. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) was -0.13% over the last five years. Projections from 2024 to 2028 suggest a continued, albeit modest, declining trend with an expected CAGR of -0.58%, translating to a 2.85% reduction over this period.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Technological advancements in railway logistics, such as automation and digitalization, to potentially counter the declining transport volumes.
  • Policy changes emphasizing environmental sustainability could impact railway freight demand.
  • Evolving trade patterns and economic shifts within the EU and globally might influence railway freight volumes both positively and negatively.