In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in Pediatrics, Perinatology, and Child Health in the UK was the baseline for the forecasted gradual decline observed from 2024 to 2028. The year-on-year reduction from 2024 to 2028 has been small but steady, with a decrease in the share value each year. Over the entire five-year forecast period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) demonstrates a slow yet consistent downward trend.

Future trends to watch for:

Potential impact of digital transformation and open science policies on authorship practices.
Influence of international collaborations on the share of UK authors in these fields.
Advancements in pediatrics research that might affect authorship distribution.