The share of India's scientific publications in the world's top 10% of most-cited publications in infectious diseases is projected to increase from 5.98% in 2024 to 6.67% in 2028. This reflects consistent year-on-year growth: 2.84% in 2025, 2.76% in 2026, 2.85% in 2027, and 2.62% in 2028. Assuming a stable progression, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period is anticipated to be approximately 2.77%.

Future trends to watch for include:

Continued growth influenced by increased research investments and collaborations.
Potential impact of global health challenges driving more research output.
Technological advancements in research methodology possibly accelerating citation rates.