Forecast: Mortality Caused by Road Traffic Injury in Malaysia

The mortality rate caused by road traffic injuries in Malaysia has shown a downward trend over the past decade, standing at 21.9 deaths per hundred thousand persons in 2023. This represents a gradual improvement in road safety, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of -0.71% over the last five years. Year-on-year variations also indicate an overall decline, with the most significant annual decrease of -4.96% observed in 2014.

Over the past two years, the death rate has decreased by approximately 0.45% from 2022 to 2023. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 predicts a continued decline, with the death rate expected to reach 21.1 deaths per hundred thousand persons by 2028. The five-year forecast CAGR is -0.56%, which indicates a steady but modest rate of improvement.

Future trends to watch for include advancements in vehicle safety technology, improved road infrastructure, and enhanced traffic law enforcement, which are likely to contribute to further reductions in road traffic mortality. Additionally, the impact of increased public awareness and road safety education campaigns will be crucial in driving these positive changes.