The number of physicians employed in hospitals in Türkiye has shown a consistent upward trend from 2013 to 2023, standing at 168.14 thousand persons in 2023. Over the last decade, the year-on-year growth rates have generally increased, with notable spikes in the years leading up to 2023. The year-on-year variation peaked at 7.78% in 2021 due to factors such as health policy reforms and increased healthcare demands. More recently, the growth rate for 2023 was 6.39%. The 5-year CAGR also illustrates a robust growth trajectory, averaging 6.7% per annum from 2018 to 2023.
Looking forward, the forecasted 5-year CAGR from 2024 to 2028 is 4.04%, indicating a strong but gradually decelerating growth rate, with an overall growth rate of 21.9% over this period. This suggests that while the number of physicians will continue to increase, the pace of growth will moderate as the healthcare system adapts to evolving demands and policies.
Future trends to watch include advancements in medical technology, regulatory changes, and the potential impacts of economic factors on healthcare funding and employment rates. Additionally, the role of digital health and telemedicine could significantly influence the demand for hospital-based physicians.