Forecast: Hospital Discharges in Italy

Hospital discharges in Italy have been on a declining trend from 2013 to 2023, starting at 7.06 million and decreasing to 6.10 million in 2023. The decline was more pronounced in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, with a significant drop of 18.62%. However, a partial recovery was seen in 2021 and 2022, with year-on-year increases of 5.33% and 9.41%, respectively. The CAGR over the last five years up to 2023 is -1.44%, highlighting a continuing downward trend.

Future projections indicate a continued decline, with hospital discharges expected to decrease to 5.30 million by 2028. The forecasted five-year CAGR from 2023 to 2028 is -2.24%, suggesting an average annual reduction rate. Trends to watch include potential impacts from healthcare policy changes, technological advancements in medical care, and demographic shifts such as the aging population.

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