Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Infectious Diseases in the US

In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in infectious diseases in the US stood at a slightly higher percentage, though the specific number isn't provided here. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 shows a modest decline: decreasing from 91.51% in 2024 to 91.38% in 2028. This suggests a subtle shift in author distribution, potentially due to changes in collaboration dynamics or authorship practices.

- Year-on-year percentage decrease is consistent, albeit marginal, highlighting stability in authorship trends.

- On a broader scale, the five-year CAGR reflects a slight downward trend, emphasizing gradual changes in the positioning of leading authors.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of increasing international collaborations which might influence the role and recognition of corresponding authors. Additionally, shifts in policy or funding prioritizing multi-author or interdisciplinary approaches could further alter author dynamics.

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