In 2023, the number of incident tuberculosis cases in Italy stood at approximately 3.03 thousand. The forecast anticipates a gradual decline, from 2.9 thousand in 2024 to 2.38 thousand by 2028. The year-on-year percentage change shows a steady decrease, with a 4.48% drop from 2024 to 2025, and a consistent annual reduction, reaching 5.18% by 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period is projected to be negative, around -3.60%, indicating a consistently declining trend.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in healthcare technologies and public health strategies, which could further drive down tuberculosis incidence. Additionally, changes in population demographics and migratory patterns may also impact trends.
