Forecast: Import of Anhydrous Ammonia to the US

The import of anhydrous ammonia to the US is projected to decline steadily, with values decreasing each year from 2.4381 billion kilograms in 2024 to 1.8389 billion kilograms in 2028. Compared with 2023, where imports stood at approximately 2.6 billion kilograms, a notable drop is apparent.

Year-on-year percentage decreases are consistent, with imports contracting as follows: -6.34% in 2025, -6.63% in 2026, -6.95% in 2027, and -7.32% in 2028. These reductions highlight a clear trend of diminishing import volume. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) records a consistent downward trend, indicating a sustained decrease in imports.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Shifts towards domestic production or alternative sources, influenced by economic or environmental policies.
  • Advancements in technology that could impact production efficiency or usage patterns of anhydrous ammonia in the agricultural sector.
  • Regulatory changes that might affect import dynamics or demand.

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