The forecast for pear production in Japan shows a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the production was at 178.5 thousand metric tons. From 2024 to 2025, the year-on-year variation shows a 6.1% decrease. From 2025 to 2026, the decline is 6.4%, followed by a 6.8% drop from 2026 to 2027, and a 7.2% decrease from 2027 to 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicates an average annual decrease of 6.35% from 2023 to 2028.
Future trends to monitor include:
- Impact of climate change on pear yields.
- Adoption of improved agricultural practices and technologies.
- Evolving consumer preferences and their influence on demand.
