The prevalence of HIV in Indonesia for persons aged 15-49 has remained relatively stable from 2013 to 2023, standing at 0.3 in 2023. Notable deviations occurred in 2015 and 2021, with a year-on-year variation of 33.33% and -25%, respectively. The CAGR over the last five years leading up to 2023 was -5.59%, indicating a slight reduction in prevalence. From 2024 onward, an anticipated average annual growth rate of 5.92% is expected, projecting the prevalence to increase to 0.4 by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of public health initiatives on HIV prevention, potential changes in diagnosis and reporting accuracy, and the influence of external factors such as healthcare access and social stigma reduction. Monitoring these elements will be crucial for accurate future projections and effective policy-making.
