Forecast: Prevalence of HIV in Thailand

The prevalence of HIV in Thailand for persons aged 15-49 has shown a consistent decline over the past decade. From 2013 to 2023, the value dropped from 1.4 to 0.9, reflecting a significant overall reduction. Year-on-year variations fluctuated, with notable decreases of -8.33% in 2020, -9.09% in 2021, and -10% in 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) has been trending negatively, at -2.64% initially, worsening to -5.59% by 2023.

Future trends indicate a continued decline in HIV prevalence with forecasts predicting it will remain at 0.8 from 2025 through 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR is -2.33%, pointing to a gradual but steady reduction. Key trends to watch for include advancements in medical treatments, potential changes in public health policies, and educational programs affecting further declines in HIV prevalence.

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