The HIV incidence rate in Argentina has exhibited a consistent downward trend from 2013 to 2023, reducing from 0.25 to 0.20 units of uninfected population aged 15-49. The year-on-year variation has been characterized by small but steady declines, peaking at a 4.76% decrease in 2023. Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has been -2.76%, indicating a continual reduction in new HIV cases.

Future trends to monitor:

Forecasts for 2024 onward predict a further decline, albeit at a slower rate, with a five-year CAGR of -1.02%.
By 2028, the HIV incidence rate is expected to have decreased by 5% from 2023 levels.
Potential impact of new prevention and treatment methods on the incidence rate.
Government health policies and public awareness campaigns.
Ongoing research and developments in HIV/AIDS treatment.