Forecast: Number of New Extrapulmonary Tuberculosis Cases in the US

The forecast for new extrapulmonary tuberculosis (EPTB) cases in the US suggests a gradual decline from 1.5 thousand cases in 2024 to 1.31 thousand cases by 2028. This indicates a shrinking annual trend of 3.33% from 2025 to 2026, 3.57% from 2026 to 2027, and 2.96% from 2027 to 2028. From 2023 figures, this reflects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -2.99% over five years, showing a consistent annual reduction.

Future trends to monitor include:

  • Development and distribution of new vaccines or treatments.
  • Impact of healthcare policy changes on disease tracking and management.
  • Socioeconomic factors affecting tuberculosis spread and control efforts.

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