Analysis of avocado production in South Africa shows significant fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. Production stood at 101.83 thousand metric tons in 2023. Key highlights include notable declines in 2017 (-29.59%) and 2019 (-30.18%) followed by sharp increases in 2018 (102.34%). The CAGR over 5 years was variable, with 2018 showing the highest growth rate (8.79%) and 2017 the lowest (-7.2%). The recent trends show moderate growth with 2022 and 2023 having modest year-on-year increases of 1.34% and 1.29% respectively.
Future trends to watch for:
- Stable growth projections with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.95%.
- Emerging importance of climate change impacts on production.
- Potential shifts in global avocado demand influencing local production strategies.