In 2023, the fruits supply in Japan stood at 32.5 kilograms per capita per year. Based on the forecasted data, the supply is expected to decrease slightly over the next five years. The supply for 2024 is projected at 32.4 kg/capita/year, dropping to 32.2 kg/capita/year in 2025, 32.1 kg/capita/year in 2026, 32 kg/capita/year in 2027, and down to 31.9 kg/capita/year in 2028.
Analyzing the year-on-year variations:
- 2024: -0.31%
- 2025: -0.62%
- 2026: -0.31%
- 2027: -0.31%
- 2028: -0.31%
Over the last two years, the fruits supply has shown a consistent downward trend. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years is -0.37%, indicating a gradual decline in per capita fruit supply.
Future trends to watch for:
- Impact of climate change on local fruit production
- Changes in consumer preferences towards imported versus locally grown fruits
- Technological advancements in agriculture that may improve yield and supply
- Policy changes affecting agricultural subsidies and import tariffs
- Shifts in population demographics and their impact on fruit consumption patterns
