Forecast: Number of Registered Air Carrier Departures in India

The number of registered air carrier departures in India has exhibited significant growth over the past decade, with values reaching 1357 thousand departures in 2023. Following a notable peak in 2019 and a subsequent sharp decline in 2020 due to the pandemic, the industry showed a robust recovery with a 55.65% year-on-year increase in 2022 and a 17.9% increase in 2023.

Over the last two years, the year-on-year variation reveals a strong recovery trajectory: 55.65% increase in 2022 and 17.9% in 2023. The last five years' Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) stands at 2.49%, indicating steady growth post-pandemic. Looking forward, the forecasted five-year CAGR is projected at 3.67%, with a cumulative growth rate of 19.73% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Impact of increasing fuel prices on operational costs
  • Expansion of domestic low-cost carriers
  • Infrastructure development in secondary and tertiary airports
  • Advancements in aircraft technology improving efficiency
  • Government policies and regulations influencing market dynamics

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