As of 2023, China had a certain base level of rural household fixed telephone subscribers. Forecasts indicate a consistent decline from 2024, where the subscriber count is projected at 1.78 (in ten million units), descending steadily to 0.70024 by 2028. The year-on-year decline from 2024 to subsequent years (2025, 2026, 2027) reflects a notable drop of approximately 15% to 25% each year. This results in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over five years reflecting a significant downturn in rural telephone service subscriptions driven by urbanization and mobile adoption.

Future trends to watch for:

Expansion in mobile and internet connectivity, leading to a further decrease in fixed-line usage.
Government policies aimed at improving digital infrastructure in rural areas, potentially altering the pace of decline.
Technological advancements offering alternative communication solutions for rural households.