In 2023, China's supply of shelled almonds stood at 175.0 thousand metric tons. The forecast indicates a steady growth in supply from 182.85 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 216.3 thousand metric tons in 2028. This represents a year-on-year increase of approximately 4.5% for 2025 and 2026, and a slight decline in growth rate to around 4% by 2028. Over the five-year period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected to be about 4.3%.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential impacts of environmental and policy shifts on agricultural yields and import strategies.
Emerging trade agreements that might influence the supply chain dynamics.
Demand fluctuations driven by changing dietary trends and consumer preferences in China.